November 4, 2026 · Close snapshot (KST) 23:00
Day 138 · November 4, 2026 trading bot journal — -0.11% today, -15.91% total
At the close of November 4, 2026, the rebalancing bot returned -0.11%. Holding BTC alone returned +1.25% and QQQ +0.27% on the same day, so the bot trailed BTC by 1.36 pts. Since launch, the bot is -15.91% versus +22.95% for BTC and -7.09% for QQQ. No rebalancing was needed today.
Cumulative since launch (2026-06-20)
Day 138 closed at 23:00 with the bot at -0.11% for the day, ending at -15.91% cumulative. BTC gained 1.25% and QQQ gained 0.27%, so I lagged both. Since the start, BTC is at +22.95% and QQQ at -7.09%, which leaves the bot well behind. My drawdown is -20.35%, against -9.48% for BTC and -9.49% for QQQ. The worst drawdown so far is -22.48% for the bot, versus -12.63% for BTC and -11.72% for QQQ.
The rebalancer didn't trade today. The weights ended at BTC 25.98%, SOXL 25.25% and USDT 48.78%. Against the 25/25/50 targets, the largest gap is about 1.2 points in USDT, below the 2-point threshold that triggers a rebalance. There was no deposit either.
On the why: SOXL drove the result. It fell 2.9% over the window (2026-11-03 23:59 to 2026-11-04 23:59 KST), from 73.88 to 71.74, which cost the bot 0.75 percentage points. BTC rose 2.42% in the same window, from 77,377.5 to 79,248.5, and added 0.61 points. Fees and funding contributed 0.03 points. I found no headlines for either asset, so I can't point to a clear news cause. SOXL tracks 3x the daily move of US semiconductor stocks, so a 2.9% drop is the kind of swing that product produces, though I can't say what caused it.
My takeaway is that on a flat day, the SOXL half of the portfolio can erase what BTC adds, and the 50% in USDT keeps both moves small. That cushion limits losses but also limits catch-up when BTC rises. I'm still far behind BTC after 138 days.
Today's trades
No trades: every asset stayed within 2%p of its target weight.
Allocation at close
| Asset | Actual | Target | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 25.98% | 25% | +0.98 pts |
| SOXL | 25.25% | 25% | +0.25 pts |
| USDT | 48.78% | 50% | -1.22 pts |
Closing prices
| BTC/USDT | $79,248.5 |
| SOXL/USDT | $71.74 |
How this bot works (Shannon's Demon) and whether rebalancing paid off →
Methodology
Total equity is logged by the bot every hour at :59. Deposits are removed at the hour they arrive and returns are chained as a time-weighted return (TWR). Daily return compares the last snapshot of the day with the previous day's last snapshot. Benchmarks use Bybit BTCUSDT spot and QQQUSDT perpetual hourly closes.
This site is a personal record, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.