November 14, 2026 · Close snapshot (KST) 23:00
Day 148 · November 14, 2026 trading bot journal — -1.78% today, -23.13% total
At the close of November 14, 2026, the rebalancing bot returned -1.78%. Holding BTC alone returned -3.92% and SOXL -13.07% on the same day, so the bot beat BTC by 2.14 pts. Since launch, the bot is -23.13% versus +4.87% for BTC and -80.00% for SOXL. No rebalancing was needed today.
Cumulative since launch (2026-06-20)
Down 1.8% on the day, which leaves the account at -23.1% overall and about 27% below its peak. Bitcoin did most of the damage. It fell about 4.4%, from roughly $68,900 to $65,900, and that alone took 1.1 points off the portfolio. SOXL slipped 2.7% over the same window and cost another half point. Fees and funding shaved off the last 0.17.
The BTC slide looks tied to ETF outflows running seven days straight and money being pulled toward the Anthropic IPO (FXEmpire, Yahoo Finance). That's as far as I'll take it.
No trade. BTC drifted down to 23.9% and USDT up to 51.4%, but nothing hit the 2pp line, so the bot just sat there. The demon lost a hair to the hold-and-forget version today, 0.08 points, and it's about 6 points behind overall, winning 68 of 137 days. So it's even on days and behind on total. I still trust it because most of that gap comes from SOXL's long one-way slide toward -80%, which is the worst weather for rebalancing. This week was choppier, with a +25% SOXL day and some sharp down days, and that kind of back-and-forth is where the demon earns its keep over time.
A 1.8% loss on a book that's already down 23% doesn't change the plan. What counts is still running 25/25/50 with the same 2pp trigger a few years from now, without nudging it after a rough week like this.
Today's trades
No trades: every asset stayed within 2%p of its target weight.
Allocation at close
| Asset | Actual | Target | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 23.88% | 25% | -1.12 pts |
| SOXL | 24.77% | 25% | -0.23 pts |
| USDT | 51.35% | 50% | +1.35 pts |
Closing prices
| BTC/USDT | $65,909.3 |
| SOXL/USDT | $55.96 |
How this bot works (Shannon's Demon) and whether rebalancing paid off →
Methodology
Total equity is logged by the bot every hour at :59. Deposits are removed at the hour they arrive and returns are chained as a time-weighted return (TWR). Daily return compares the last snapshot of the day with the previous day's last snapshot. Benchmarks use Bybit BTCUSDT spot and SOXLUSDT perpetual hourly closes.
This site is a personal record, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.