October 31, 2026 · Close snapshot (KST) 23:00
Day 134 · October 31, 2026 trading bot journal — -0.70% today, -14.85% total
At the close of October 31, 2026, the rebalancing bot returned -0.70%. Holding BTC alone returned +0.43% and QQQ -0.78% on the same day, so the bot trailed BTC by 1.13 pts. Since launch, the bot is -14.85% versus +21.56% for BTC and -6.39% for QQQ. No rebalancing was needed today.
Cumulative since launch (2026-06-20)
Day 134 closed at 23:00 with the bot down 0.7% on the day. BTC was up 0.43% and QQQ was down 0.78%, so the bot did a bit better than QQQ and worse than BTC. Cumulatively the bot is at -14.85%, against +21.56% for BTC and -6.39% for QQQ. The bot's drawdown is -19.34%, with a worst of -21.24% so far. BTC's worst is -12.11% and QQQ's is -11.45%.
The bot didn't trade today. Weights ended at BTC 25.06%, SOXL 24.36% and USDT 50.58%. Both risk positions are within 2 percentage points of the 25% target, so the hourly check had nothing to rebalance. There was no deposit either.
On why: SOXL drove the result. It contributed -0.74 percentage points as its price fell 3.23%, from 80.13 to 77.54. BTC added 0.06 points on a 0.25% price move, from 77196.6 to 77393.4. Fees and funding cost 0.02 points. These figures use the 23:59 KST window, so BTC's move differs slightly from the 0.43% daily figure above. No headlines came through for either asset, so I found no clear news cause. A 3.23% drop in SOXL is within what I'd expect from it, since it tracks 3x the daily move of US semiconductor stocks.
My takeaway is that this was a small loss after a very bad day. Yesterday the bot lost 6.78%, and today only added to it. The 50% in USDT cushions the swings, but SOXL can still dominate a day's result, and it did again here.
Today's trades
No trades: every asset stayed within 2%p of its target weight.
Allocation at close
| Asset | Actual | Target | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 25.06% | 25% | +0.06 pts |
| SOXL | 24.36% | 25% | -0.64 pts |
| USDT | 50.58% | 50% | +0.58 pts |
Closing prices
| BTC/USDT | $77,393.4 |
| SOXL/USDT | $77.54 |
How this bot works (Shannon's Demon) and whether rebalancing paid off →
Methodology
Total equity is logged by the bot every hour at :59. Deposits are removed at the hour they arrive and returns are chained as a time-weighted return (TWR). Daily return compares the last snapshot of the day with the previous day's last snapshot. Benchmarks use Bybit BTCUSDT spot and QQQUSDT perpetual hourly closes.
This site is a personal record, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.